Agent library / Risk & the call

Risk & the call stage · Watch

Thesis Watch

Keeps the call alive after it ships - alerts only when the thesis actually changes.

Why the desk needs it

Most research dies the moment it's published. Thesis Watch monitors every call against its own stated conditions - stop crossed, target hit, thesis offside, desks flipped - and alerts you only then. No daily anxiety, no noise; the alert means something changed.

Where it sits in the flow
01 Read
02 Debate
03 Structure
04 Watch this role
What it reads
The watch contract

Each report's stop, target and invalidation conditions.

Live prices

Where each name trades against its levels, continuously.

New desk output

When a re-run or scheduled scan flips a desk's read on a name you hold.

How it thinks
Silence is a feature

An alert system that fires daily trains you to ignore it.

The thesis defines the trigger

It watches the conditions the call itself named - not arbitrary price moves.

Close the loop

A re-run after an alert shows what changed since the last call, delta by delta.

What it hands off
Thesis-change alerts

Stop crossed, target hit, offside, or the desks flipped - by email and push.

The since-last-call delta

What's different when you re-run a name - price, desks, verdict.

Earnings auto-runs

Opt-in: a fresh analysis fires automatically when a watched name reports.

What it does not do

The more specialized a role is, the more clearly it has to know its boundary - overlap is where black-box answers come from.

See the Thesis Watch work on a real ticker

Its output appears as a named section in every report - with the rest of the desk arguing around it.

Educational research, not investment advice.